The publication of a controversial, and groundbreaking, article by the Los Angeles Times raises complex questions about whether to "out" teachers whose students perform poorly on reading and math tests.
That is especially true when using "value-added" techniques that are complicated even for statisticians who do this kind of thing for a living.
The Times' analysis holds the potential to fling open the door of any California classroom for public examination in a way that has never been attempted before.
U.S. Secretary of Education Arne Duncan has no problems with the practice. "What do they have to hide?" he said in response to the Times article, referring to the teachers identified in the report.
Bonnie Reiss, Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's secretary of education, also gushed. "Publishing this data is not about demonizing teachers," she said. "It's going to create a more marketplace-driven approach to results."
On the other hand, the United Teachers of Los Angeles denounced the disclosures as "dangerous and irresponsible." Union leader A.J. Duffy is threatening a boycott of the paper, plus possible legal action.
Let's try to get beyond the rhetoric.
Researchers I talked with tell me that if this had been an academic study, the researchers would never have been given permission under human subject research guidelines to disclose the names of teachers.
Jennifer Imazeki, an economist at San Diego State University, wrote on John Fensterwald's The Educated Guess:
Regardless of how one feels about value-added, as a researcher, I've been shocked at the public disclosure of teachers' names. Most researchers have to sign their lives away in confidentiality agreements if they want to use student-level data with individual identifiers. How in the world did the Times get their hands on this data without such an agreement?
Richard Buddin, a respected economist at the Rand Corporation who as an independent contractor ran the numbers for the L.A. Times, said he had nothing to do with releasing the teachers' names.
In two e-mails to me, he explained that the files he used for his analysis had "scrambled student and teacher identifiers" and that he made "no attempt to link the scrambled identifier with teacher names." "The Los Angeles Times did this after I completed my analysis," he wrote in an email.
So how did the Times get the names of teachers from LAUSD? Simple: They asked for them.
Robert Alaniz, LAUSD's director of communications, told me the district's legal department concluded that under California's Public Records Act, the district had no choice but to release the names of the teachers, and to link their names to the test scores of their students. He said that if test scores had been used as part of a teacher's performance evaluation, the scores would have remained private. But because they aren't, they are not regarded as confidential information.
"We vetted it with our legal staff, and determined that the request was valid, and that we did have to turn over the teachers' names," Alaniz said. "As adults, as employees, their names fall into the public domain."
He said the district has some safety concerns about the Times' plan to publish the names of 6,000 teachers and where they teach, because some may want to keep their location secret from former spouses and others they may have restraining orders against, etc. The district also has concerns about an over-reliance on on using test scores to evaluate teachers. "It should be just one of many different factors," he said.
All this would be more straightforward if teachers were identified on a clear-cut fact that is either true or false, such as whether they have the proper teaching credentials, or how much they get paid, experts say.
A report issued last month by the U.S. Department of Education's Institute of Education Sciences concluded that "policymakers must carefully consider likely system errors when using value-added estimates to make high stakes decisions regarding educators."
And last fall, the National Research Council took a close look at the administration's promotion of the value-added methodology as a criterion for states to qualify for its $4.3 billion "Race to the Top" program.
The headline announcing its report, referred to briefly in the Times article, declared, "Value-added methods to assess teachers not ready for use in high-stakes decisions."
The distinguished panel that drew up the report, which included two UC Berkeley professors, Michael Hout and Mark Wilson, warned the administration that "although the idea has intuitive appeal, a great deal is unknown about the potential and the limitations of alternative statistical models for evaluating teacher's value-added contributions to student learning."
One of the concerns raised by the panel was the complexity of the statistical methods used, which would make "transparency" difficult and critiquing an impossibility for anyone but the most sophisticated statistician.
That seems to apply to the dense report written by Buddin accompanying the Times article, in which he explains his methodology.
Take this paragraph, picked more or less at random:
Data sets on teacher inputs are incomplete, and observed-teacher inputs may be chosen endogenously with respect to the unobserved-teacher inputs (teacher-unobserved heterogeneity). For example, teacher effort may be difficult to measure, and effort might be related to measured teacher qualifications, i.e., teachers with higher licensure test scores may regress to the mean with lower effort.
Or this paragraph:
Teacher heterogeneity (φj) is probably correlated with observable student and teacher characteristics (e.g., non-random assignment of students to teachers). Therefore, random-effect methods are inconsistent, and the fixed-teacher effects are estimated in the model. The fixed-teacher effects are defined as ψj=φj+qjρ.
It will require a lot more than fifth grade arithmetic to penetrate that algebraic thicket.
UPDATE: From Jason Felch:
We welcome the discussion and scrutiny of our articles and methodology, but several things in Freedberg's post require clarification. ...
The premise of Freedberg's post is that, had it been an academic publication, it may have been done differently. It was not an academic publication, it was investigative reporting done in the public interest with public records. The decision to post teachers names was a journalistic one made after careful consideration at the highest levels of the LA Times.
Freedberg refers to the value-added technique as "mostly untested." The technique was developed in the 1970s and has been used by school districts and states since the early 1990s. Dozens of academic papers during that period have studied the approach, its potential and its limitations. In 2008, for example, leading researchers from Harvard and Dartmouth conducted a random-assignment experimental validation of the approach with LAUSD data and published their results here: http://isites.harvard.edu/fs/docs/icb.topic245006.files/Kane_Staiger_3-1... (PDF)
Finally, Freedburg takes the curious tack of criticizing our transparency. The methodological paper he cites is written for the research community so that our approach can be vetted by experts in the field. For a lay audience, the Times has also published a lengthy Q&A, two videos explaining the approach, a list of research papers reviewed by reporters, an About this Story explaining our process and an Editor's Note addressing the decision to publish teachers names. It appears Freedberg did not see, or did not care to mention, those efforts.

Comments
The LA Times should be deeply ashamed. LA and DC are completely backwards on education. It is appalling. Stupidity is no excuse, and the possible ulterior motives are grotesque and criminal.
This extreme pressure on teachers to add value is stupid on the stupid face of it. The key problems in education are not underdeveloped teachers, though some of it involves teachers unable to work effectively in insane situations re resources, overcrowding, administrators, policies, etc. And, of course, there will always be the occasional incompetent or insubordinate teacher, but value-added nonsense is not the best way to weed them out. In fact, it may not work at all!
The majority of the problems reside in overall school missions, methods, resources, curricula, and administrations; lack of parental involvement or family dysfunction; blighted communities and chronic student issues that affect focus, motivation, or self-perception.
Yes, teachers are the main masters of adding value, but the real problems are the disaster areas in students’ lives, academic and real-world. That’s when their learning stalls and skills fade. That’s what has to be fixed. And to suggest that it be fixed by making everyone a super-excellent teacher to double (or triple, if need be) the learning pace is unrealistic, unfair, and evasive. Plus, this whole value-added concept has some inherent problems, besides our inability to accurately measure it. Ever heard of learning curves? Developing humans take them in different ways in different areas. Sometimes a major block, or steep bump, is natural, yet will require serious parental intervention, like a private tutor, when school intervention would be way too little, way too late. And there are plenty more nonlinear aspects to learning in all stages of our development: plateaus, epiphanies, synergies, stases, setbacks, etc.
These deformers really undo themselves. This is very convincing of their lack of education. They should read a book, Diane Ravitch's Death and Life of Public Education, learn something, stop the harassment and nonsense, and get out of office and out of sight. The gig is up.
Mr. Felch, your whole premise is flawed and disingenuous. As I wrote the Times, your article is an irresponsible, disingenuous & truly immoral piece of propaganda, based solely on your own unprofessional and uneducated "analysis" of on ONE man's "research." It is nothing more than a press release served up as earnest journalism. But there is no journalism here; there is just the crude & shameful public scapegoating of public school teachers in service of a corporate, for-profit ideology. Shame on you, Mr. Felch, and on your colleagues in this hit piece, Jason Song and Doug Smith.
The sole source for your piece is Richard Buddin, a RAND Corporation hack. He has been employed by RAND since 1974 and has never held another job with any other company. He has been a "dissertation advisor," and an economics professor at UCLA and the RAND grad school of Santa Monica. Buddin has never held a public education job; never taught elementary or secondary school; never been a teacher. You can claim he's an "independent contractor" all you want; he's never worked for anyone other than RAND and the two cannot be separated, your wishful thinking notwithstanding.
And so this is what you think is "analysis"? A RAND propaganda study without any questioning on your part of this so-called "value-added" nonsense being perpetrated on the nation's education system?
Yes, I'm a former California public school educator currently teaching in Tennessee. I'm also a former journalist. I recognize this junk for what it is: A thoroughly dark day in American journalism. And an extremely sad and damaging day for LA's public school servants.
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